An Educated Guess

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A fish tale that slams science
How cod ecology reveals the limitations of science and mathematical modeling.
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Jeroen van Baar
1

July 2024

May 2024

Three key things I learned about mental health
My two cents for Mental Health Awareness Week
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Jeroen van Baar

April 2024

The job of the future will be complex, and therefore frustrating
In which we discuss a second driver of workplace stress—effort-reward imbalance—and learn why the term 'burnout' was originally reserved for human…
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Jeroen van Baar
1
Do you feel in control at work? It could determine your health
Workplace stress, part I
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Jeroen van Baar
2

March 2024

Are social media bad for mental health? It's the wrong question.
What the historical eras of epidemiology can teach us about tackling a modern problem.
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Jeroen van Baar

February 2024

The lower middle class isn't middle-class anymore
Time to stop the twin flywheels of inequality
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Jeroen van Baar
3

January 2024

Data dispatch #5: does money make you happy?
An "adversarial collaboration" between famous scientists sheds new light on an age-old question.
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Jeroen van Baar
2
What a legendary economist got wrong—and right—about our "economic problem"
Or: what a 2022 stress survey reveals about our political priorities
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Jeroen van Baar
2
New year, new ways to connect
Featuring The Best Of 2023 and a look ahead to An Educated Guess in 2024, including the first Video Meet-up on January 17th
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Jeroen van Baar
1

December 2023

The perplexing potential of placebos
The Christmas spirit reveals a fundamental principle of human psychology: expectations matter
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Jeroen van Baar
Data dispatch #4: the falling nutritional value of crops
The mineral content of wheat and rice is lower today than sixty years ago. Why is that and what does it mean for how we eat?
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Jeroen van Baar
1
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